Monday, November 16, 2009

Not a bad call at all for Belichick

I like to yell at the coaches as much as the next guy and of course in my mind I'm always right. Never mind the fact that the coaches have forgotten more then I will ever know in my lifetime about football EVEN though I play Madden 2007 (the last PC Madden). Doesn't matter, I know I'm right.

First let's look at coach Mike III (the third . . . .Mike Holmgren, Mike Sherman, Mike McCarthy). First - let me say I had money ON the Packers to win outright (+140) but I lost Pittsburgh AND Detroit to the spread so I'm not having a super genius week.

While everyone was running around with their hands in the air saying we're doomed I was saying all week that the Packers are NOT that bad at all. Offense is ranked 8th and Defense is 5th, both BETTER then the Vikings. The difference maker has been Special Teams which was ranked 32nd.

I'm not a huge fan of McCarthy and I don't have anything REALLY earth shattering to complain about except I think we have to take his little red flag away. Isn't tossing it onto the field when you have used it twice already a delay of game penalty? And isn't tossing it when you will have the ball on the 1 foot line ANYWAY a little excessive?

On the other side of the field is the Cowboy coach who KNOWS the game is lost but keeps on playing his starters because what are the chances that they will get ANOTHER injury. Daaa!

Anyway - linesmakers know what they are doing - remember LAST Monday when they came out and said the Packers were favored but quickly the betting crowd pushed the line to a big Packer underdog. This week the Packers are favored by 5.5 points over SF.

But the coach everyone is talking about is Bill Belichick's big 4th down decision in last nights game NE/Indy game. Just like 95% of other American people I thought "what a dumb ass"! What total bone head play. Go for 4th and 2 on your own 28 with 2 minutes to play and up by 6? ARE YOU MAD-DA?

BUT WAIT!

Just like other thing we think we know like wearing a hat is important for keeping you warmer (wrong) and years of jogging will ruin your knees(wrong) we all thought going for 2 yards on 4th down on your 28 was stupid! But no - it was the smart play that didn't work. Here is why.

4th and 2 is successful 60% of the time, if you miss you give the ball to Indy, who, on average will score a TD 53% of the time with 2 minutes left on the 28. So doing the math the Winning Percentage would be

(0.60 * 1) + (0.40 * (1-0.53)) = 0.79 WP which is 79%

By going for it the Pats have a 79% chance if winning the game.

If you punt the average punt will net you 38 yards giving the ball to the Colts on about their 38 yard line. Historically with 2 minutes and on the 38 yard line a team, will score a TD 30% of the time. So the punt gives the Pats a 70% chance of winning the game.

Going for it was the right thing to do even though it LOOKED dumb as hell.
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In other news of which I have very little.

Yes yes - some of you might have seen me in the Attorney Generals Office Friday AND without hand cuffs! Let's just say they like my artwork and are trying to figure out how the people of Wisconsin can pay for it (which has mysteriously tripled in price).

Also, I have word from Schofield that Char is having an open house all next week to show off her new WALL OF ART! :-)
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I playing with a new toy.

I'm just not sure if I will use it

for good or evil???

Do I use it to create unnatural disasters and world domination? It's really tempting. What if I went in front of the Columbus City Council and said "Give me One... Hundred... BILLION DOLLARS! or I will flood West James Street". Yea - you got it! They would tremble and call for a vote or a referendum or even a city wide ballot to see what the towns people thought!

Can anybody say 2012??

OK OK - I will use it for good. I actually have a vision in my brain that involves a Porsche. All I need is a camera (STILL getting fixed).

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So they found a "significant" amount of water on the moon. My thinking is that it is waste water from the Apollo landings. Probably dumped it during a flyover. I wonder if it was yellow. You would think the astronauts were taking a lot of Vitamin B and we all know what THAT does.

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Ed Gein murdered his last victum on this day in 1957. The inspiration for Norman Baits in Psycho and Silence of the Lambs (Anthony Hopkins won and Oscar even though he was on the screen only 24 minutes).

I bring Ed up because Mr. Gein was "believed to be somewhat odd" . HELLO - YEA - YA THINK??? unlike the normal, "he seemed like such a good man" or "he never caused any trouble and was quite" which you always hear.

In another sad thing, on this day in 1999 the work starts on another mammoth bonfire** at Texas A&M. THIS year would have been the 100th year anniversary of this tradition and it is truly an amazing bonfire. 70 workers at a time and 7000 logs are used. The one in 1999 was almost 6 stories tall when it snapped. . . . .

**The word bonfire is derived from the French for "good" (like in bon appetite) but the practice of having a bonfire is believed to be derived from the Celtic festival of Samhain when animal bones were burnt to ward off evil spirits. Bonefire??
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The Lawrence Welk show was canceled on this date in 1957. I have heard that I had some relative that played the slide guitar on the show. Since my dad was a music teacher and we had a band that played in parades (Melotte's Melody Mix-ups) on a flat bed truck I never doubted it. On anotehr note, on DJ's side of the family has relatives that were on Family Feud with Richard Dawson.

Remember - Vendor and Craft Sale this Saturday Nov 21st ONE DAY ONLY 9am to 3:30pm at the Columbus High School- come by and stare at the Crafters and Artisans, I'll be the one sitting by himself knitting or something. This is my first one so I'm not sure what goes on, do I get things tossed at me? Do I have to do a little jig to entertain people?

There will be some sort of raffle so bring some dollars.

Nuff said, peace out! OH YEA - it's peace day here. HONK of you are for peace! WHAT IF I DON'T HONK!! WHAT IF I HONK REAL LONG!!! oh those people irritate me.

Have a great Monday

5 comments:

  1. who's going to bail all the water out of the bank?!?

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  2. Numbers aside, I have to say that Belichek's move was baaaad for NE, and I love that!! :D Go Indy!

    My grandfather ate at Ed Gein's house. He lived just down the road from him. Ewww.

    Those are my top two thoughts for the blog and the ones that will not get me into trouble. ;) Happy Monday, all.

    Oh, congrats on the photo stuff. Very nice!

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  3. Wait, what the hell? Hats don't keep a body warm? Link please, Mr. Mythbuster.

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  4. "who's going to bail all the water out of the bank?!?"

    Got that right Todd!!!

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  5. The response to my open house to see my "wall art" is truly overwhelming!! Good luck on the craft show....take a small cooler with water cause you get really dry with all of the smoozing with the people that you will need to do. Do you have a little receipt book....they like receipts. Oh, and do you have a little stamp to stamp the receipt with you business name....wow, the list goes on. Don't let all this make you nervous....you will do fine. Oh, one more thing, do you have bags to put the prints in???

    Seriously, I can hardly wait to see how you do.....I absolutely LOVE my bridge print. It is amazing!!!! Thanks again!

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