Wednesday, August 14, 2019

Expect a recession in the next 6 to 18 months - Yield curves

I can't get the Game of Thrones theme out of my head.  WHY you ask? (as you should).

10 years ago another brewer said I HAD to watch this new show Game of Thrones so I watched it and was hooked like the rest of the world.  DJ who is not a fan of violence opted not to watch it.

Fast forward 10 years and I am watching GOT with my daughter in law and am on Season 7.  DJ was multi tasking and realized  . . . hmmmmm .. . . interesting and fascinating show.

SO - she is now  binging on GOT and we have foregone actual life an in the last 2 days I have watched 7 episodes of season one and she is crazed wanting MORE  MORE  I NEED MORE!!

MEANWHILE - a prequel is in the works set 1000 years before GOT. Staring Naomi Watts and Josh Whitehouse will reveal the “horrifying secrets of Westeros’ history” and “the true origin of the White Walkers.” 

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THANK YOU to all of the businesses and individuals that donated to bring Christmas decorations back to the Columbus downtown. Over $13,000 was collected but $8,000 is still needed. 

BRAVO Columbus - seems some people do care.

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Anybody know about installing a .dll?    I downloaded a Astrophotography software and it seems it would run without CV210.dll    I have the fear of the unknown.   Does it install itself?    hmmmmmm

More info is needed.  I found this out about midnight last night so I have not really had a chance to look into this.

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I'm loving the SPAM RISK and TELEMARKETER notifications I'm getting on my phone now!




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HEY - if you are looking for used office furniture, chairs, desks, microscopes (they had a few) lights.  Everything office. Check out Madison Liquidators.

I needed a new chair and after seeing new chairs were like $400 I checked those guys out.  I picked up a WONDERFUL Steelcase chair for $50 - it's GREAT!!  Looks like a new one is $351.

Almost right across from UW Provisions in Middleton - do NOT follow your cars GPS though.  Pretty easy to get to just off of Hwy14 but it's still 45 minutes from Columbus.


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2019 City Street Project - begins Thursday, August 15

Street repairs are scheduled to take place August 15th - August 20th 
2019 street repairs are scheduled to take place August 15th through August 20th, weather dependent. To ensure this work is completed on time the crews will be working on Saturday August 17th as well. Repair work will take place at the following locations;
-             Selden Street from Fuller St. to Main St.
-             Waterloo Street from Manning St. to Williams St.   Our project stops short of School Street
-             Maple Avenue from James St. to Hibbard St.
-             Sunset Road from Warner St. to Dix St.  (patching on westbound lane)
-             Lewis Street from Narrow St. to Harrison St.                                        
-             Lewis Street from Narrow St. to Prairie St. (patching on southbound lane)
-             Lewis Street from Prairie St. to School St. (patching on southbound lane)
-             Lewis Street at Fountain St. intersection (patching on southbound lane)
-             Lewis Street from Washington St. to Franklin St. (patching on southbound lane)
THANK YOU current government for taking care of our streets! 

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The New England Patriots are the oldest team in the NFL BY FAR!   A breathtakingly old 27.9.  62% of all NFL players are on their rookie contracts at $1.06 million per year compared to the first NON-rookie contract of $5.8 Million per year.

The Brewers open up next year at home vs. the Cubs  march 26th!

Aristides “The Punisher” Aquino a rookie for the Cinci Reds who play in a stadium just slightly bigger the n Breeze Stevens in Madison has hit 8 home runs in the last 9 games and 7 home runs in the last 6 games and he has only played in 12 games total.  Not a bad start.

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The congressional generic ballot based on polls that ask people which party they would support in an election has seen a long, slow and very very steady decline for the Republicans.

In 2018 the generic poll had Democrats winning 50.7 to 42.0. At this point in 2017 the Blue was winning  46 to 38%

THIS year the blue leads 46.1 to 39.9.   Another blue wave?  Will the coming recession hurt the GOP?

I don' t even want to look at the market today as it will be wild (I literally have not . . yet . . and now I will).   WHOP - down 471   Shit!

Seems the bond market is flashing recession warnings.  Inverted yield curve.  There have been 5 inversions of the 2 and 10 year yields since 1978 and all were precursors to a recession.  The last one was in 2005.  We can expect a recession in the next 6 to 18 months.   NFL owners are betting on 6 months and want to get the contracts with the Union done BEFORE the recession hits.

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The average temperature in New Jersey is up 3.6 degrees since 1895.  TWICE the average of the rest of America but 3.6 degrees is an important number “has emerged as a critical threshold for global warming” and indeed the signatories to the 2015 Paris accord agreed that urgent action was needed to keep warming “well below” that level.

Lightning strikes were recorded 300 miles from the North Pole.  The most northern lighting strikes ever recorded.

Everything is fine!  nothing to see here.  fake news .


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