Packers = Parlay cards from the past and log homes

 Yesterday we drove to Green Bay to talk to a log home builder.  After purchasing 5 acres in the tip top of Door County on the squiggly road going to the ferry (thanks to Jenny finding an amazing deal) we though a log cabin might be a really sweet thing. 

We did not have a clue how much a log cabin would cost so it was a meet and greet fact finding mission.  WELL - can we talk about $350 a square foot?  And that does not include all that needs to be done clearing trees and creating a driveway and all the prep work.  OUCH!!  Plan B 

Actually the line should not touch the road there are 2.5 acres between the road and our land. THAT 2.5 acres went on sale a week after we purchased ours for about what we got all 5 acres for. 

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Survivor starts tonight with a 2 hour episode which is always a good sign and BOY are there changes.  26 days and not 39.  No food OR rice OR tools. Challenges - if you lose you actually get penalized like you lose your flint to make a fire.   A game withen the game for the audience.  The new era of Survivor happens tonight on CBS at 7:00.  I sent in audition tapes twice - I believe my brothers son 

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We watched a fascinating show on Netflix last night called Count Me In about famous drummers in rock bands and it was GREAT!!!   I can't find any trailer though. It talks about all the drummers in bands and what made them so amazing.  Check it out in Netflix if you believe the drummer is the one that makes the band.

Not so fun fact - John Bonan died after his 40th shot of vodka 

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OK - football and trends - I love trends but you have to weed out stupid trends.  They are just another tool and people will say It's not the same team and yada yada yada but what is the same are the linemakers.  Let them figure out the teams - I follow linemakers and how they do.  

SO - The Packers v San Francisco

Taking the last 10 (arbitrary number)  The 9'ers are 16-15 ATS as home favs of 3.5 to 6  so nothing to see there and 21-10 Straight up - within the norm, you SHOULD win about 67%.

Packers Away dogs 3.5 to 6 are 13-14  blah nothing to see there and 12-16 straight up.  Blah  

Rodgers - 28-22 ATS (against the spread) as an underdog   57-50 AWAY  So I see no reason to to put any $$ on this game ( did well last week though).  

Side Note - NHL pre season starts Saturday 

OH - I tweeted this - Never bet against Rodgers on MNF when you have won 15-16 games on a 16 team parlay and all you need is for Detroit to cover 11.5 points.  $25 to win $720,000. SO CLOSE!  Ya think there was some stress in that living room? 

ALTHOUGH - The Packers were 8-11 ATS on MNF so . . . . 

Speaking of 16 team parleys - One time decades ago Elweed and I had a REALLY good parlay card system. This was before computers. We would see the line Monday in the paper.  The for different parlay cards from for madison bookies came out on Wednesdays. We would go to each bar and look at their lines and compared to the paper.  

Then make the appropriate 3 team parlay according to the line movements.  One week we had a GREAT week BUT - could not get paid.  This was a problem with MANY parlay cards as one could put $25 on a 10 team parlay and won.  SEEMS this put the bookie in a bind with money LOL

We got paid the next week.  

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Brewers - not worried yet. It's not like they are getting blown out.

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