Friday, October 14, 2022

SO here is a question

A couple personal things to let you know I'm doing GREAT.  I've lost 18 pounds (172 - 154) my knee feels great and I'm healthy and wise (the wealthy is still in flux with this stock market). 

this summer we saw 3 amazing concerts (Nightwish, Roger Waters and Ghost) with the last one GHOST I believe was the best concert I have ever seen in my life. Seriously the most polite and happy crowd I have ever ever seen.   For any of you that watch Stranger Things here is Mary on the Cross (not what you think it's about  LOL).     

 

I have a project from all my photos at the concert.  Here are a few of my favs of the MANY MANY Sisters of Sin 





It was an amazing concert! 

ANYWAY - It's NHL and NBA season and I did pretty darn well last year on picks, up 62 units before it fell to mid 40s and I stopped.   Should I post picks here??  is there enough interest?  I post them on the Sports Handicapping forum on Facebook but should I copy and paste here also?   

This is what I put on the forum a few days ago.    
*******************
After my initial idea/system bloomed and then stagnated last year I've tweaked it and will have dogs this year in NHL ML and PL (probably not NBA yet)

Still a couple weeks away though. How does it work?

I have a power rating that picks games but as we all know winning and losing games is meaningless. Who cares what your record is, 100% meaningless. It's $$ that counts right?

So I added in the line WITH my power rating. What I found last year is there are times my power rating PLUS the line was right on and those were the games I picked and it seemed to work (see graph).

This the summer I looked at ALL the games that the system DIDN'T pick. WOW, if I would have bet the OTHER side on those games I might have done even better!!

That's the plan this year - HOWEVER - this causes a problem . . .  SO SO MANY GAMES!! Could I be betting EVERY GAME? If my ROI is 10% with 1200 games . . . is that a bad thing?

My goal is always 5% ROI which is what the pros strive for which would be 60 units and a LOT of wagers. 

This will start as a trickle but by the middle of November it should be balls to the wall wagers. Quantity vs. Quality.

first wagers should be in a couple weeks. Stay tuned




***************

Let me know if this is easier. 

Cheers 



No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.